Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 10/31/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets · Oct 31, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 13.9 shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.
Fred VanVleet has successfully made 3.1 3-pointers per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Fred VanVleet has played 36.8 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 6th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet lands in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.5 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA while on the road since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line.
Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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