Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM UTC

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 96th percentile for three-point attempts, posting 7.7 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 99th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 36.8 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5).
The 7th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Pelicans have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should boost opportunities for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 16.2 mark, Fred VanVleet's field goal attempts have regressed this season to 13.5 per game.
Fred VanVleet has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have captured 11.4 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans (continuing possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).
Fred VanVleet stands to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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