Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Houston Rockets · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 86th percentile for shots, tallying 14.1 per game this year.
Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.1 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet places in the 100th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 37.3 minutes per game this year.
The Rockets have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.0 more than he's committed in all games this season on the road.
With respect to scoring, the Rockets's lackluster 110.6 points per game while playing on the road rates 8th-weakest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Hornets is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 15th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.3).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game this year (13th-least in the league).

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