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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one for scoring; opposing squads have compiled the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (45.2%).

The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, opposing clubs have attempted 19.4 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rockets rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Boston Celtics).

Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have brought down 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics (preserving possessions that can spark more chances for offense).

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