Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Points

New York Knicks vs Houston Rockets · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 13.8 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
Fred VanVleet has made 3.8 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet rates in the 100th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 37.1 minutes per game this year.
The 10th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out 12thbest in in the league while on the road with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated overall this year.
The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the New York Knicks is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.8).
The Houston Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).
Fred VanVleet will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production for all stats.

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