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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last year's 6.3 clip, Fred VanVleet's shots drained have surged this year to 6.8 per game.

Relative to last year's 36.3 mark, Fred VanVleet's playing time has surged this year to 39.0 minutes per game.

Fred VanVleet has averaged a lowly 1.8 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 2.8 fouls per game last year.

This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 43.0% on three-pointers (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, marking this as a positive matchup.

The Warriors have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA as the away team this year.

The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 7 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have snagged 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) against the Warriors (retaining possessions that can bring about more opportunities for offense).

In comparison to last season's 3.7 rate, Fred VanVleet's free throws sunk have fallen this season to 2.1 per game.

Fred VanVleet will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

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