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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has sunk 8.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's made in all games this season.

Fred VanVleet has successfully made 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made over the course of the year.

Fred VanVleet has played 35.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The matchup vs. the Pacers is a strong one; they have given up the 23rd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (19.4).

The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Raptors.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Pacers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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