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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has attempted 16.7 shots per game this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.8 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a good one; when the Lakers have the home court advantage, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs since the start of last season (21.0).

The Lakers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Raptors.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (85th percentile).

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Playing at home, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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