Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic · Feb 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has attempted 19.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.7 treys per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.5 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup against Markelle Fultz is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when Fultz is away from his home court and facing opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted a massive 7.9 threes per game (100th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league while at home this year.
The matchup vs. Markelle Fultz is a hard one for drawing fouls; when Fultz is away from his home court and squaring off against opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted just 3.3 free throws per game (24th percentile).

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