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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has attempted 10.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Fred VanVleet has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 9.7% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Fred VanVleet has averaged 36.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.

The Toronto Raptors have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The Raptors have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should raise plays for the Warriors.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (89th percentile).

The Warriors have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games on their home court (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Warriors is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a mere 26.5 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court.

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