Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics · Jan 21, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year while on their home court (which can also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to their opposition this year (which can also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has attempted a mere 8.6 treys per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 9.8 rate last season.
Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (91st percentile).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year while at home.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Celtics is a challenging one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 6th-lowest Field Goal% in the league since the start of last season (44.8%).

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