Fred VanVleet Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks · Jan 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has posted 26.4 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.6 higher than he's posted over the course of the year at home.
Fred VanVleet has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.9% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
Fred VanVleet has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a massive 23.2 free throws per game away from his home court this year (8th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Knicks have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA this year.

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