Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 11:17 PM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-184/+142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -162 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -184.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has converted 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.0 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season when playing at home.
Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 35.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for threes; when the Mavericks are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Rockets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

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