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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Assists
Player Prop - 1/13/2024

Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has averaged 9.5 assists per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category.

Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 37.6 minutes per game this year.

The Houston Rockets will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 7thbest in in the league while playing away from home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet rates in the 79th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.

The Rockets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA as the away team this year.

The Boston Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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