Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Houston Rockets

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has averaged an impressive 9.9 assists per game this season, significantly higher than his 7.2 assists per game last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 37.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
While on their home court, the Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet places in the 88th percentile for technical fouls, putting up a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Fred VanVleet is expected to see a decline in output in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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