Fred VanVleet Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Fred VanVleet

NBA · Player Props

Fred VanVleet

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Fred VanVleet Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Fred VanVleet has tallied 6.7 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 97th percentile.
Fred VanVleet has tallied 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 99th percentile.
The Bulls have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Bulls have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Fred VanVleet has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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