Franz Wagner Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Rebounds

Brooklyn Nets vs Orlando Magic · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has put up 5.0 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.1 higher than he's put up over the course of the year on the road.
Franz Wagner has played 32.0 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (78th percentile).
The Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Magic.
On their home court, the Nets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Franz Wagner will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player performance across the board.

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