Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics · Apr 27, 2025

Updated Apr 27, 2025 10:58 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Franz Wagner slots into the 98th percentile for field goal attempts, posting 19.5 per game this year.
Franz Wagner has attempted 7.2 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner registers in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 33.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The matchup against Boston is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Celtics are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7).
The Orlando Magic check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Franz Wagner places in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 2.4 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year.
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league this year has been the Orlando Magic.
The Orlando Magic will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Boston Celtics).
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.