Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2025

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics · Apr 9, 2025

Updated Apr 9, 2025 10:29 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Franz Wagner comes in at the 98th percentile for shots, tallying 19.4 per game this year.
Franz Wagner has attempted 7.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Franz Wagner has played 33.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 6.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, identifying this as a good matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Magic have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league this year has been the Magic.
The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Orlando Magic.
The matchup against Boston may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are on the road (5th-least in the league).

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