Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2025

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 27, 2025

Updated Mar 27, 2025 10:29 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Franz Wagner lands in the 98th percentile for shots from the field, registering 19.5 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Orlando Magic will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Orlando Magic check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Franz Wagner places in the 94th percentile for free throws converted while on his home court, posting a monstrous 4.0 per game this year.

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
With respect to offense, the Magic's subpar 105.1 points per game ranks 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a challenging one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4).
The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Orlando Magic.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road (2nd-least in the NBA).

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