Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2025

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 24, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 11:54 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner comes in at the 98th percentile for shots taken, posting 19.3 per game this year.
Franz Wagner has averaged 33.4 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, labeling this as a strong matchup.
Franz Wagner has successfully made 4.1 free throws per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Orlando Magic's remarkable 28.6 free throws per game with the home court advantage settles in as the 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The 4th-most lethargic tempo team in the league this year has been the Orlando Magic.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the Lakers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.