Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Houston Rockets · Mar 19, 2025

Updated Mar 19, 2025 7:00 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has attempted 19.4 shots per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Franz Wagner has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a good matchup.
Franz Wagner has sunk 4.2 foul shots per game at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
As a team, the Orlando Magic have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: best in the league over the last 25 games, drawing 25.3 foul shots per game.

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Magic will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets).
The Magic check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, making it tough to draw fouls.