Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2025

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic · Feb 6, 2025

Updated Feb 6, 2025 9:04 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has compiled 28.9 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.8 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the league, Franz Wagner rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.8 minutes per game this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Orlando Magic.
The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Franz Wagner has sunk 8.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 2.9 higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner places in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The Orlando Magic check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).
The most lethargic tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Orlando Magic.
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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