Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2025

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 25, 2025

Updated Jan 25, 2025 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has attempted 21.1 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 45.0% on threes (4th-best in the league) vs. the Pistons, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Magic.
The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Orlando Magic's unimpressive 103.4 points per game comes in as the weakest in the NBA this year.
The Magic have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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