Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 23, 2025 7:00 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has compiled 28.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season.
Franz Wagner has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while at home with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Franz Wagner has converted 8.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's put through the net overall this season.
Franz Wagner should get a boost in output for all stats in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Magic have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Portland is a tough one; when the Portland Trail Blazers are on the road, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (12.1).
The most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Magic.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease plays for the Magic.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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