Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2024

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 19, 2024

Updated Mar 19, 2024 10:46 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has averaged 32.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Franz Wagner has made 91.8% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games at home, 7.8% higher than he's made overall this season with the home court advantage.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 4.5 foul shots per game (most in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.
Franz Wagner will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has converted 11.4% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 15.4% lower than he's sunk in all games this season.
Franz Wagner has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's been called for in all games this season at home.
The Orlando Magic have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SFs have logged 15.0 points per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets, making this a hard matchup for offensive performance.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

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