Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 7:16 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Franz Wagner slots into the 91st percentile for shots taken, posting 15.8 per game this year.
Franz Wagner has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 50.2% on field goal attempts (27th-best in the NBA) against the Wizards, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Orlando Magic.
Franz Wagner has made 3.1 free throws per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (80th percentile).
The Orlando Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Orlando Magic rank 9thworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are away from home, the other team has snagged 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) against the Wizards (continuing possessions that can generate added chances for offense).
Franz Wagner ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories due to being on the road in this contest.