Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 6, 2024 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has sunk 9.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's put through the net overall this year while on the road.
Franz Wagner has made 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while playing on the road.
Among all players in the league, Franz Wagner places in the 89th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.1 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Heat is a strong one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 24th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (12.2).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner registers in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have shot 41.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Orlando Magic are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).