Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has posted 18.8 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 87th percentile.
Franz Wagner has tallied 32.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a good one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 15 games (19.0).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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