Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 21, 2023 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has attempted 6.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.7 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Franz Wagner has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The matchup against Washington is a good one for field goals; when the Wizards are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most field goals per game in the league this year (6.4).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Orlando Magic check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Orlando Magic check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Wizards have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should reduce possessions for the Magic.
When playing away from home, the Wizards have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Washington is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.3 foul shots per game this year when the Wizards are on the road (14th-least in the league).

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