Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has successfully made 5.7 field goals per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 78th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Franz Wagner has played 30.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a strong one for scoring; the other team's starting SFs have shot for the 22nd-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.6%).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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