Franz Wagner Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2023

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Orlando Magic · Feb 3, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has made 41.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games on the road, 8.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season while playing on the road.
Franz Wagner has tallied 32.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Magic.
Franz Wagner has sunk a whopping 3.7 free throws per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.4 rate last season.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (42.3%).
The Orlando Magic have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.7 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are on their home court (5th-least in the league).
Franz Wagner will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.