Franz Wagner Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 27, 2025 9:30 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Franz Wagner ranks in the 87th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc away from home, putting up 6.1 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Franz Wagner measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 32.7 minutes per game this year.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.5 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, identifying this as a good matchup.
The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc scored against Haywood Highsmith has been very high (44.1%) when he is at home and defending other starting SFs this year (100th percentile).
The Orlando Magic check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Franz Wagner places in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game this year.
The Orlando Magic check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in regard to threes.
The most lethargic tempo offense in the league this year has been the Magic.
The Orlando Magic will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
Franz Wagner will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player performance for all stats.

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