Franz Wagner Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 8:35 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has averaged 5.4 assists per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
Franz Wagner has played 32.6 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic rank 8thbest in in the NBA while at home with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
The Brooklyn Nets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Franz Wagner will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Magic.