Franz Wagner Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has averaged 3.9 assists per game this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's hottest by this standard in recent days.
Among all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 32.7 minutes per game at home this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 12thbest in in the NBA playing at home with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 20 games, opposing teams have collected 8.8 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (losing possessions that could otherwise generate extra chances for offense).
Franz Wagner will likely see a spike in output in all stat categories considering having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.1 more than he's committed over the course of the year at home.
The Orlando Magic have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Magic.

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