Franz Wagner Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 6:54 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has averaged 6.2 assists per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.8 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
Franz Wagner has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 87th percentile.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The Magic are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers).

Favors Under

The Orlando Magic check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have come down with 13.2 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Pacers (retaining possessions that can spark more chances for offense).
Franz Wagner is expected to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.