Franz Wagner Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 7:45 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has posted 5.8 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.1 higher than he's posted over the course of the year at home.
Among all players in the NBA, Franz Wagner measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game this year.
The Magic have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has come down with 9.8 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Celtics (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 2.4 clip, Franz Wagner's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 2.6.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to decrease plays for the Magic.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Orlando Magic rank 6thworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Franz Wagner should suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.