Franz Wagner Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 10:31 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has tallied 5.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
Franz Wagner has played 32.0 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Magic.
The Grizzlies have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Franz Wagner will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lowers player production across the board.