Franz Wagner Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Franz Wagner

NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Orlando Magic · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 14, 2023 11:56 PM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+118/-144).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has totaled 3.4 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the best in the league by this metric over this stretch: 84th percentile.
Franz Wagner has played 30.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Magic.

Favors Under

The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Spurs have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Franz Wagner will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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