Franz Wagner Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Franz Wagner

F · Orlando Magic

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics · Jan 23, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Franz Wagner Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Franz Wagner has tallied 5.6 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
Franz Wagner has averaged 32.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (which can also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Franz Wagner will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Franz Wagner has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Magic have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Celtics.