Evan Mobley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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Evan Mobley

NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 7:21 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has totaled 10.4 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's totaled in all games this year.
Evan Mobley has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile.
The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Evan Mobley has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (89th percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Evan Mobley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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