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Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley Points
Player Prop - 4/28/2025

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Evan Mobley has sunk 7.1 baskets per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Evan Mobley has successfully made 2.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from downtown overall this season.

Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 30.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on 3-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Heat, making this a positive matchup.

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the league with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 10th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers.

The matchup against the Heat may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

Evan Mobley figures to see a decline in performance across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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