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Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2025

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Evan Mobley has made 7.0 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Evan Mobley has converted 2.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing on the road.

Evan Mobley has tallied 29.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

With respect to shooting, the Cavaliers's stellar 125.0 points per game on the road rates best in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have put up the highest three percentage in the league this year (46.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cavaliers will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-slowest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).

The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Evan Mobley will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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