Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 5, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 10:04 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has sunk 7.1 shots made from the field per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
Evan Mobley has sunk 47.7% of his treys over the last 10 games, 9.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, Evan Mobley measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 30.3 minutes per game this year.
In regard to shooting, the Cavaliers's remarkable 122.7 points per game comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 55.8% on field goal attempts (best in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, resulting in a strong matchup.

Favors Under

Evan Mobley has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The Cavaliers have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Charlotte Hornets are the visiting squad (3rd-least in the NBA).