Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 16, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 8:24 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley slots into the 88th percentile for shots hit, totaling a colossal 7.0 per game this year.
Evan Mobley has successfully made 2.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley lands in the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 30.7 minutes per game this year.
The Cavaliers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The faceoff with Cameron Johnson ranks in the 92nd percentile with the other side's starting PFs nailing a monstrous 43.8% of their shots from downtown this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Nets is a tough one; they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.6).
The Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 7thworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Evan Mobley will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.