Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/7/2024

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Evan Mobley

NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 7, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 5:59 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-139/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley rates in the 87th percentile for shots scored while on the road, putting up a whopping 6.9 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 31.4 minutes per game this year.
With respect to offense, the Cleveland Cavaliers's outstanding 122.0 points per game rates best in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 8.7 field goals per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, creating a positive matchup.
The 3rd-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Evan Mobley has successfully made 8.3% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 14.6% less than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season while on the road.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hornets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 4thworst in in the league with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).
Evan Mobley ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness for all stats as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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