Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 5, 2024 7:14 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has converted 6.8 shots made from the field per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 30.2 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on three-pointers (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making this a good matchup.
The 5th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, struggling to draw fouls.