Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/9/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 9, 2024

Updated Nov 9, 2024 7:18 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has made 7.1 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Out of all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley measures in the 88th percentile for free throws converted, logging a whopping 3.1 per game this year.
Evan Mobley stands to see a spike in production in all stat categories as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have posted 11.4 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Cavaliers are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.