Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2024

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Evan Mobley

NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 2, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-112/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has made 56.7% of his shots from the field away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley places in the 80th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.3 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The Cavaliers check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when it comes to three-point shots.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 threes per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Evan Mobley has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (92nd percentile).
The Cavaliers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.
Evan Mobley will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually lowers stat production across the board.

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