Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · May 9, 2024

Updated May 9, 2024 7:12 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Evan Mobley ranks in the 88th percentile for scoring efficiency while on the road with a superb 57.0% rate this year.
Evan Mobley has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year as it relates to treys.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Evan Mobley has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a hard one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Cavaliers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the visting team with only 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.